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The Morning Brief : Business & Market News | October 13, 2025

ByTeam NewsEnfold

Business & Market News – Top Headlines & Key Events to Watch

Good morning! Setting the tone for the coming week is always aided by beginning your Monday with new information and market research. This is your Business Morning Brief (October 13, 2025), which includes the most recent policy changes, market trends, and important events to keep an eye on today. It is designed to give you the confidence you need to face the week.

Leading Headlines

These are the key stories from Friday and the weekend that are still influencing market sentiment this week.

RBI holds steady with optimistic outlook: The Reserve Bank steady with the repo rate at 5.5% and revised the growth forecast for India’s GDP for FY26 to 6.8% from 6.5% during the October policy review. The central bank also revised down its inflation projection to 2.6% from 3.1% showing confidence in the direction of the economy. This represents a well-rounded strategy that upholds financial stability while fostering growth.

Indian markets showed resilience with foreign fund flows improving: The BSE Sensex closed on Friday at 82,501, up 0.4%, gained for the second day in a row. The Nifty closed at 25,285, registering a 1.6% gain for the week amid renewed foreign portfolio investor buying. After months of outflows of Rs 1.58 lakh crore for 2025, FPI flows became positive in the recent sessions.

Historic India-EFTA Trade Pact Commences: On October 1, the $100 billion Trade and Economic Partnership Agreement with European countriesthat promises 1 million jobs became operational. As a result of the landmark agreement, Norway is encouraging its businesses to invest in India to meet the agreement’s ambitious goals.

Pressure on Trade Dynamics: With the festive season approaching, India’s merchandise trade deficit will mainly widen due to the growing import of gold, expected to be as high as $28 billion in September. However, the import of gold will also help balance out the payments deficit since the gap will be offset by strong services exports.

US markets face volatility: After escalated US-China trade tensions, the S&P 500 dropped 2.7% while the Dow decreased over 870 points as Wall Street rebounds. With these global headwinds, there can be negative impacts on the sentiment in Asian markets, India being one of them

Global & Domestic Market Snapshot

Global markets last week experienced volatility and, on the end of last week, the major US indices experienced their worst day since April.

As Trump stipulated new tariffs on China, the Dow lost 1.9% while the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq shrunk by 2.7% and 3.6% respectively, pulling the markets down.

The international market volatility is a consequence of the US-China trade conflict over rare earth minerals and trade practices. The Asian markets will, for the most part, expect to open with caution as the US market declines and the US regional fundamental economic backdrop weighs on sentiment. With the China stipulated and Middle East tensions relaxed, equity markets will have at least some supportive global economic fundamentals for the open.

Indian equities performed relatively well, with the Sensex increasing by 1.6% within the week, and the Nifty recording its second weekly gain. The rally was led by the banking, pharmaceutical, and real estate sectors, and for the first time in several weeks, foreign investors turned net buyers.

In spite of worldwide currency volatility, the rupee held steady at 88.71 to the US dollar. There was some respite on the import front when crude oil prices dropped to about $63 per barrel for Brent.

Corporate & Policy Watch – October 13

Today will see a number of significant events that could affect investor sentiment and sector performances:

This week’s major Q2 earnings begin today with reports from Anand Rathi Wealth, Den Networks, HCL Technologies, and Ind Bank Housing Ltd. The findings will offer preliminary information about trends in company performances for the quarter that ended in September.

The government is expected to release the September CPI inflation numbers, which economists expect to decline sharply to between 1.2% and 1.7% — potentially the lowest in the last 20 years. This may strengthen expectations of more monetary policy softening.

New trade policy developments may be seen in the coming week, with government sources expected to provide updates on the the India-EFTA agreement implementation and announcements on bilateral trade discussions.

Corporate actions:  More than 200 companies, including Reliance Industries, Infosys, Wipro, and HDFC Bank, are expected to release their Q2 results this week.

Today’s Business Calendar

Time (IST) Event Sector / Relevance
12:00 PM September CPI Inflation Data Economy / RBI Policy
2:30 PM HCL Technologies Q2 Results IT / Markets
Post-Market Q2 Earnings from Multiple Firms Various / Investor Sentiment
All Day EFTA Trade Pact Implementation Updates Trade / Investment
Quick Recap

This concludes your October 13, 2025, India Business Morning Brief. Despite global headwinds, there are a number of positive catalysts at work, including the RBI’s continued accommodative stance, stabilizing foreign flows, and the implementation of a historic trade agreement. With earnings season and inflation data offering crucial insights into economic momentum, the coming week looks to be exciting. I’ll see you with the upcoming Morning Brief tomorrow. I hope you have a successful upcoming week!

References

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